Blue Square Bet Premier - Weekend Betting Preview
Thursday Sep 15, 2011
- by Alan Alger from Blue Square
Wrexham suffered their first defeat in the Blue Square Bet Premier last weekend when going down by three goals to one at Barrow.
Holker Street continues to be a graveyard for favourites as the Bluebirds maintain their good home form against the league's leading lights.
Dean Saunders' side are back at home this weekend where York City are the visitors. Wrexham are the Evens favourites for the game as they look to get back to winning ways.
Despite being more than twice the price of York to win the league at the start of the season, their good start has seen them backed into second favouritism.
York on the other hand have drifted after their unsettled early form. The Minstermen are 9/4 outsiders for this game.
Gateshead have been matching Wrexham's record over the first few weeks and failed to capitalise on the Barrow result as they too suffered their own first defeat on the same afternoon at Fleetwood Town.
They were, of course, outsiders for that match but feature as odds-on 4/5 favourites this weekend for a home match with Cambridge United. The U's are settled in mid-table and are unbeaten in their last four matches.
Jez George's side have been involved in low scoring games so far this season and have performed reasonably well in defence. That said, I feel Gateshead will have too much firepower for them and a home win is advised.
Luton Town crept up into third place in midweek with a win in their game in hand at AFC Telford.
Their title odds were cut to 9/4 after that victory and following last weekend's results they are now the only unbeaten team in the division.
They are the joint-highest scorers too, with 17 goals, and suddenly look to have a settled squad with plenty of competition for places.
Gary Brabin's patience around the start of the season and the transfer window has looked to have paid off and with nearly a fifth of the season now gone they find themselves with a good base for an assault on the title.
Lincoln City visit Kenilworth Road this weekend and they sit just two places off the bottom of the table with just one win from eight matches. Three straight defeats has caused restlessness amongst the Imps faithful and a trip to the title favourites is hardly the tonic for such poor form. It's no surprise to see a home win quoted as short as 2/5.
Mansfield Town will aim to avoid the curse of the favourites at Barrow.
Fleetwood and Wrexham have already tasted defeat in Cumbria, despite going there in good form and that's exactly how The Stags will turn up for this game.
Their first four game winning sequence in a league campaign since October 2003 was completed last week, and a win here would give them their first five timer in that category since early in the 1991/92 season in what is now League 2.
They are a best price of 11/8 to keep their run going. Barrow are the 8/5 outsiders but come into this game looking for a third straight win.
Kidderminster Harriers will look to shake off a home draw with Ebbsfleet on Saturday.
They are odds-on favourites again, this time at home to Alfreton Town. We are happy to take on Steve Burr's team at a best price of 8/13.
Tamworth are outperforming early season expectations with an impressive start to the campaign under Marcus Law.
He visits his old club Kettering Town at the weekend and it's 15/8 that he can come away with three points.
At one stage during last weekend's game with Gateshead, Fleetwood Town had Jamie Vardy, Magno Vieira, Richard Brodie and Andy Mangan on the pitch at the same time.
An incredible array of attacking talent which could only fit into the most gung-ho of tactical line-ups. It paid to be positive that day as the Cod Army got back to winning ways and they look a good bet to follow up at Ebbsfleet United at a price of Evens.
The last two champions of the Blue Square Bet South meet at Cressing Road on Saturday when Braintree Town host Newport County.
Although Newport have had an extra season to get used to Non-League's top-flight it's Braintree that kick-off this game in the top half of the table.
Newport have been beset with problems at the start of the season culminating in a 5-0 defeat at Mansfield last week. Boss Anthony Hudson has had to cope with suspensions, injuries and blooding his new squad which has made the prices for this game pitch his team as the 2/1 outsiders.
Braintree are the strong 6/5 favourites to make it a trio of wins - the last two coming by the scoreline of 1-0. A repeat of that outcome in this match is priced at 11/2.
Darlington have suffered successive defeats by two goals to nil, albeit in difficult games against Luton and Mansfield. Mark Cooper's team have an easier task this weekend according to the market featuring at a price of 8/15 to beat Hayes & Yeading United at home.
Southport have put together a nice run of form and will kick-off at Forest Green Rovers off the back of three straight wins. Loan signings from Luton and getting key players back from injury has been cited as the Sandgrounder's reason for improvement and punters may want to chance them at a price of 14/5 at the New Lawn against a home side who have been too inconsistent to justify an odds-on quote of 5/6.
Stockport County drew 1-1 for an incredible sixth time in eight matches at AFC Telford last weekend. Didi Hamann's side host Grimsby Town on Saturday with another 1-1 draw offered at 11/2. County are the 6/5 favourites for the game, with an away win priced at 2/1. Bath City are the only team without a win in the division and it's possible their wait for three points could last a few days longer.
AFC Telford welcome The Romans to Shropshire and are quoted as the 4/5 favourites to inflict more misery on Adie Britton's troops.
Alan's Best Weekend Treble:
FLEETWOOD TOWN to win at Ebbsfleet United
GATESHEAD to beat Cambridge United
AFC TELFORD UNITED to beat Bath City